The Texas Republican Senate primary delivered a clear signal: grassroots voters are restless, and longtime incumbent John Cornyn is on shaky ground. With neither Cornyn nor Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton securing the required 50 percent of the vote, the race now heads to a runoff. But history, and political reality, suggests this result is less a victory for Cornyn than a warning. In primaries, incumbents who can’t win a majority rarely recover, because the vote itself becomes a referendum on whether voters want change.
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